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SMU vs. North Texas Odds, Predictions and Lines: 2022 College Football Picks, Week 1's Best Bet by Proven Models

The North Texas Mean Green will host the SMU Mustangs at Apogee Stadium on Saturday at 7:30 PM ET. SMU has been reloaded after the transfer of head coach Sonny Dykes to TCU at the end of last season, but the Mustangs spent five weeks inside the AP Top 25. North Texas closed the season with six wins in the regular season. Five of those wins were in the finals, five games before Mean Green’s Frisco Bowl appearance. Since 2014, SMU has been 6-2 overall, against the spread against North Texas, and the Mustangs last year’s matchup he went 35-12. This match will air on his CBS Sports Network.

The Mustang has an 11-point advantage in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest North Texas vs. SMU odds, with over-under set at 68.5. Before making the SMU vs. North Texas selection, we need to see the college football predictions from SportsLine’s model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates all FBS college football games 10,000 times. Over the past six years, a proprietary computer model has generated an astonishing profit of approximately $3,600 for a $100 player on his top-rated college football pick against the spread. Entering week 1 of the 2022 college football season with a 45-32 run in all the highest-rated college football side picks dating back to 2021.

The model now has its sights set on North Texas vs. SMU, anchoring the pick and CFB predictions. Head over to SportsLine now to see what we have to offer. Here are the North Texas vs. SMU college football odds.

  • North Texas vs. SMU Spread: North Texas +11
  • North Texas vs. SMU Over-Under: 68.5 points
  • North Texas vs. SMU Picks: See our picks here.

Featured game | | North Texas Mean Green vs. SMU Mustang

What You Need to Know About North Texas

Mean Green won 31-13 against the UTEP Miners on Saturday. Quarterback Austin Orne had just 55% of his pass completion percentage, but had 236 yards and he had three touchdowns to clinch the win. He’s off to a better start this year with 1,991 passing yards, nine touchdowns, and nine interceptions than how his entire season total ended last year. Taking full advantage, he finished with 72 receiving yards.

Ayo Adeyi claimed to move forward as the starting running back on the UNT offense, converting 17 carries to 80 yards. Defensively his end Cadren Johnson got the only sack in the game, while middle his linebacker KD Davis led the team with his eight tackles. Davis finished with 120 combined tackles last season and will be a player SMU will definitely keep an eye on.

What you need to know about SMU

Former Oklahoma quarterback Tanner Mordecai recorded 3,628 passing yards, 39 touchdowns and 12 interceptions last season, proving he has what it takes to run Dykes offense. Waco area passers often looked for Danny Gray, who finished with 803 yards and 9 touchdowns, but was drafted by the San Francisco 49ers. Another Dallas-area player is expected to fill the No. 1 receiver role, led by scoring Lacie Rice.

North Texas ranked 15th nationally in rushing touchdowns last year with 32 overall. But SMU’s run defense is admirable, holding opponents to 137.5 yards per game. All of the starters in the Mustangs’ defensive front 7 are either seniors or glad transfers, so Addei and he will have to make things difficult with UNT’s other RBs.

How to make a North Texas vs. SMU pick

The model simulated North Texas vs. SMU 10,000 times and got the results. You can see that the model is leaning towards sum of points. It also generated a point spread pick that was hitting him over 50% of the sim. Picks can only be seen on SportsLine.

So who is the North Texas vs. SMU winner? And which side of the spread will it hit in over 50% of the simulations? Head over to SportsLine today to find out which side of the North Texas vs. SMU spread to jump to on Friday. See what’s available and find everything from models crushing college football picks.