After Everton draw with Liverpool, Jones Knows thinks Rodri is paying a heavy price to score in Manchester City’s easy win at Aston Villa.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City live on Sky Sports on Saturday at 5.30pm – play SUPER 6 here!
Aston Villa had expected goals below 1.00 for the fourth time in five games against Arsenal this season, but once again failed to show their attacking rhythm, confidence and chemistry. Steven Gerrard has a hard time answering, and this could mess things up at Villa Park.
One of the under-marketed weaknesses of struggling teams is the lack of a defensive organization to defend set-pieces. This creates many punt opportunities in the opposing player’s shot and goal market. Aston Villa have his second-most shots from set-pieces this season, including three goals, despite their good performance. Gabriel had his four shots for Arsenal on Wednesday night, but the Gunners caused many problems for Villa when the ball was played into the box. With spectacular passing and delicate football, Man City scored the most goals from set pieces in the Premier League last season (21).
The player that stands out to me here is Rodri, who, along with the two centre-backs, is always in the mixer from City’s set-pieces. There are several ways to attack his price. He’s also a threat to hit from range, so 2 shots with a 6/5 sky bet I need to give you a run. He has 18 shots in his last 10 games.
Rodri shoots 28/1 on headers this weekend
The dreamer should consider 28/1 in Sky Bet for him to win the header. Of his 18 shots, five were headers, scoring two goals. OK, the sample size is fairly small, but a player with a decent recent record from set-pieces, City’s biggest threat, would be better than 28/1 to record his third header in his last 11 starts. should also be short.
Scoring Prediction: 0-3 | Jones knows best: Rodri scores with a header (28/1 on Skybet – bet here!)
Brighton vs Leicester live on Sky Sports at 2pm Sunday – play SUPER 6 here!
Brighton have collected 28 points from their last 14 Premier League games since April, with only Man City (36), Tottenham (31) and Liverpool (31) adding more. I’m here. Leicester, on the other hand, have had a poor start to the season, with four defeats on the bounce.
Brighton are well trained, very smooth and usually feast on a confidence struggling team with players who probably aren’t pulling in the same direction. It can never be returned. This is not the first rodeo in Brighton.
Familiar concerns about wasted finishes are rearing their heads again early this season. Brighton have failed to take advantage of the high-probability chances that have been created. In his last three seasons at home, Brighton have an expected goals tally of 90.34, but he has scored just 62.
I haven’t checked the numbers, but is it Solly March’s fault for the 80+ expected goals? His expected goals for the season are 1.38 and he has missed three big chances. No Premier League player has had a higher xG this season without scoring. It’s pretty staggering how my weekly price of his 10/1 scorer hasn’t been addressed. By the way, he remains at that price this weekend.
To combat Brighton’s extravagance, Leicester have scored in 25 of their last 28 Premier League away games. His one goal alone for the Foxes suggests it could be enough to avoid defeat.
All of the above will probably become meaningless when March goes home. Hat-trick at 500/1.
Score Prediction: 1-1
Manchester United v Arsenal live on Sky Sports at 4:30pm Sunday – Play SUPER 6 here!
Who knew Eric Ten Hag’s style could be so filthy?
I’m sure many of us expected full-throttle football with a high defensive line, but what Ten Hag now relies on is an aggressive, frontal defensive backdrop with It’s a very direct style with no thrills.
Manchester United are on a rough tumble right now and it’s hard to score. For Arsenal to break, they have to be smart and cool, but one goal might be all it takes. I can’t. It would be a big statement to leave with three points.
The price of the match looks about right to me, with both United and Arsenal trading around the same mark at 8/5 on Skybet. It’s too difficult for me to get involved, so I’m betting on a card market that has a strong desire to receive more cards than Arsenal with United’s newfound aggressive approach. 11/10 on skybet.
No team has had as many yellow cards (9) or fouls (40) as Manchester United since the 4-0 draw at Brentford. Despite Arsenal being seen as a team with discipline problems, taking into account the Premier League regulars, Arsenal have remained his 12th in the number of yellow cards since the start of last season. indicates that there is United looks great prices with the card in mind.
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